Iran responded to the United States’s imposition of tough new
sanctions on Monday with air defence drills and confident and
confrontational rhetoric. "We are in the war situation," President Hassan Rouhani said in a television address as the sanctions snapped into place."We are in the economic war situation. We are confronting a bullying enemy. We have to stand to win."
"I announce that we will proudly bypass your illegal, unjust sanctions because it's against international regulations," he said. “I don't think that in the history of America, someone has entered the
White House who is so against law and international conventions."
Reneging on the 2015 deal was a cornerstone of US President Donald Trump’s election campaign.Nuclear inspectors have regularly said Tehran has abided by the
nuclear deal, which other signatories Britain, France, Germany, China
and Russia have promised to uphold. But the US says that the pact
failed to address issues such as Iran’s support of armed groups in
countries such as Yemen and Lebanon, or its development of long-range
ballistic missiles.
The move on Monday will restore US sanctions that were lifted under a 2015 nuclear deal
negotiated by the administration of President Barack Obama, and add 300
new designations in Iran's oil, shipping, insurance and banking
sectors. Trump’s national security advisor, John Bolton, said at a conference, last year, of the formerly as ''terrorist'' marked opposition group Mujaheddin e Khalq, that he wanted a regime change in Iran. Although Pompeo backed away from it later, Trumps personal lawyer,
Rudy Giuliani, has also publicly supported toppling the Iranian government.
The US is not simply intent on waging an economic war, but also wants
to build up a military and strategic coalition against Iran. This seems
to have been the most important item on the agenda of last week’s Manama dialogue in Bahrain, where US Defence Secretary James Mattis took aim at Iran.
Mattis is keen on the creation of a what amounts to an Arab NATO
built around a regional network of Sunni Arab states in the shape of
the emerging Middle East Strategic Alliance, potentially including
Benjamin Netanyahu’s Israel. The primary outside backers would be the US, France and Britain.
Close Trump ally and Iranian foe Israel, which has repeatedly struck
Iran’s forces in Syria, has thanked the US for the new sanctions.“President
Trump's bold decision is the sea-change the Middle East has been
waiting for," Israeli Defence Minister Avigdor Lieberman said in a
statement.
"In a single move, the United States is dealing a
critical blow to Iran's entrenchment in Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, Iraq and
Yemen. President Trump, you've done it again! Thank you."
Exemptions
To what extend the Iranian economy will be harmed further by Trump's sanctions is yet te become clear. Already Iran’s output has fallen to around 1 million barrels per day
since May, since Trump officially pulled out of the nuclear deal. Iran’s
already struggling economy has entered a nosedive.The rial now trades at
145,000 to the dollar, down from 40,500 a year ago.Prices
have skyrocketed as a result, leading to bouts of civil unrest and
power shortages both within Iran and Iraq next door, which is heavily
reliant on its neighbour.
But the US saw itself obliged to give temporary exemptions to eight countries, including Turkey, Iraq, India, South-Korea and Japan, so that they can keep purchasing oil
and see stability in their economies and the global oil supply. Also China is expected to continue buying Iranian oil, although big Chinese state oil companies pulled out of dealings with Iran. Russia is expected top do the same and France and Germany, as well as Britain, have expressed their willingness to continue to do business with Iran. They are looking at the creation of a “special purpose vehicle” that
would enable them to continue trading with Iran independently of the US
dollar. It is yet unclear if that is going to work out.
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